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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253562

Veles VS KAMAZ

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.45%
Draw
28.37%
Away
33.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5694
Log loss
0.9558

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
d943525f6c63bca963cd184b57cf80e1f6d194fac308e0ad9a3c9c455e7eca9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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