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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253560

Sporting Lagos VS Rivers United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.60%
Draw
28.06%
Away
24.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
cd83da7b56aaa482b15587511c584307b6d0a7199c897b65f144279f7a68e199

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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