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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253513

Enfield Town VS Lewes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
79.41%
Draw
12.88%
Away
7.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0649
Log loss
0.2304

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
0278a9ebf3867304a5e366451c0a97e8474395dc50dae2c444b30d037247ef79

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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