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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25279

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk VS Orsha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.74%
Draw
18.39%
Away
15.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1764
Log loss
0.4195

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
a7ca71f89e977fa2dfb51a6fe2ee0f08f21359d79a36235843f0874d378b0649

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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