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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25249

Velké Hamry VS Sokol Brozany

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.12%
Draw
21.07%
Away
55.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9469
Log loss
1.4645

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
254e288421bad6a6d8807736e1f74ac3806a2d756658c7baca6ccd3f3074f32f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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