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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25221

Racing Club Warwick VS Bromsgrove Sporting

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.02%
Draw
22.95%
Away
30.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7633
Log loss
1.2030

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
c977a433b47c873ffd282ec10103ec296487af82626f0e30c1b94efa565c6f96

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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