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Frozen pre-match forecast · #252121

Juventus W VS Lyon W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.58%
Draw
12.60%
Away
79.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0624
Log loss
0.2254

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
57282f37c2749759e285a762573fd174eeda4d7aa68c066478563034426ca88e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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