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Frozen pre-match forecast · #252106

Platense Res. VS Deportivo Riestra Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.32%
Draw
28.67%
Away
47.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4221
Log loss
0.7547

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
5a8bf2877dfc58e1908bfccd3e308deb0cbbb898a7d7334a5fd1130fec2db517

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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