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Frozen pre-match forecast · #252101

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Belgrano Córdoba Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.12%
Draw
23.86%
Away
40.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6252
Log loss
1.0183

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
357387314c89f2eccd2d6f6971c4f94a62cb44c29ccf6566f9ed49769d962f50

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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