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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25203

Hanwell Town VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.80%
Draw
20.91%
Away
23.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.9435
Log loss
1.4571

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
337f0763212c9c87a94a385a11c3b4b6c1c4e5146325950db30cf22b8760a7bb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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