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Frozen pre-match forecast · #251978

Rushall Olympic VS Halesowen Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.98%
Draw
23.40%
Away
37.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8802
Log loss
1.4524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
0b292d6f1c8a75769b1bcb7971a7e70a60235f782a23e55be55ffb15e52c66c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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