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Frozen pre-match forecast · #251972

Redcar Athletic VS Bamber Bridge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
78.66%
Draw
14.14%
Away
7.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0707
Log loss
0.2399

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
eec0ab736146732f340ce4f8a759efcc1b9e9ce77e21b4bbf16a49253f9dc3e7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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