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Frozen pre-match forecast · #251960

Bristol Rovers VS Reading

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.01%
Draw
15.52%
Away
73.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
953354dafb1023920f6c6d20b7ef3d15ac7dc88fc9673a2b6f39ae6741156ac5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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