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Frozen pre-match forecast · #251910

Nyvelados VS Dendele

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.40%
Draw
13.55%
Away
63.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 890-minute result
Brier score
0.2096
Log loss
0.4612

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
0831b9458e4a0a000a7f7d40e14c6bbe36f7025a5d15e28c1dcb3f1687ae5e38

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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