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Frozen pre-match forecast · #251903

Pineto VS Vis Pesaro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.37%
Draw
25.17%
Away
20.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3134
Log loss
0.6094

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
9cb4a3b672bec2ce11c91caa95b6750424315ad5c13548c4d181187346050aa5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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