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Frozen pre-match forecast · #251898

Hvidovre VS Aarhus Fremad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.91%
Draw
24.85%
Away
28.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4234
Log loss
0.7569

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
0f19805b6ecd86ee88e06f326fe4833ec06c38a70263c479a773e48b2f3da26e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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