Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #251896

Kafr Qasim VS Hapoel Afula

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.26%
Draw
25.88%
Away
35.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6248
Log loss
1.0255

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
9c6f5d2476c9d63e89bdc2e9dafbf9d9f28a9c31382e53bcfd39b8a9f4be8f18

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →