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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25110

Rozova dolina VS Dimitrovgrad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.69%
Draw
23.57%
Away
31.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8846
Log loss
1.4452

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
2c29612808459ccd6f3ce5c0a94dbb9aaecb11c61deda1ab42489b96464b3e45

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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