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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250877

Napredak VS OFK Bor 1919

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.41%
Draw
26.60%
Away
24.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3994
Log loss
0.7255

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a8d56563317b81c25f10ce5b44af9e465c9bb7e19f9bd1c75aaa6a6a6352c851

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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