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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250761

Dieppe VS Racing Colombes 92

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.34%
Draw
26.47%
Away
45.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8252
Log loss
1.3292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
4d4956fcfdb8800416a3c1fb9d5674b9a86d6b899ffa3e38ab8ae8798f9c2d8e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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