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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250488

Club Guarani VS Olimpia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.63%
Draw
27.18%
Away
46.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4343
Log loss
0.7724

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
e0283473465b24b98fa6c011cca6f0588c0c52c66b865611a5dd1ac9c2edfc4f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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