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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250485

Eastbourne Borough VS Dulwich Hamlet

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.13%
Draw
19.19%
Away
14.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1732
Log loss
0.4136

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
ec39e17c8bf23a87d13d8a12145ff9e39b28e531cffa77b8e1aa717411557f4f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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