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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250282

Malta VS Eswatini

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.74%
Draw
22.00%
Away
15.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
69c32974fc3d5c453ed500e330e40986d6536b1517110e94f5eff9d21895284c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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