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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250242

Juventus W VS Lyon W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.58%
Draw
12.60%
Away
79.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0624
Log loss
0.2254

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
f4b4474e30cf1f787a27e8a48cdb41de1169a1431dc9b4ff33b861dd31dcd2c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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