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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250110

Roma W VS Servette Chênois W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.54%
Draw
19.67%
Away
20.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2456
Log loss
0.5185

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
a854a0223ff3c2746ed26b0db4f9d7ff612f063775e4f70a8a293a47770bdfc7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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