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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250096

Rushall Olympic VS Halesowen Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.98%
Draw
23.40%
Away
37.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8802
Log loss
1.4524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
7c7c6d9a0675b706d008b2a4088c2f7f5c9d01c6864a9727ccee69a5f35f8dbf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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