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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250091

Anstey Nomads VS Kettering Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.19%
Draw
23.13%
Away
39.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6055
Log loss
0.9891

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
97acdfedac4c8c398531fc1aec4c512eca3e8e3e78d2b7d8cee16f3bbd796b9b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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