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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25009

Kidderminster Harriers VS Yeovil Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.18%
Draw
40.05%
Away
20.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9416
Log loss
1.5717

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
b0af6727b5e8a499ceeb4112cca8b514a741a837ee8e61572afa43623430baf2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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