Frozen pre-match forecast · #250086
Colchester VS Ipswich Town U21
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 66.77%
- Draw
- 17.80%
- Away
- 15.43%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.1453
- Log loss
- 1.7260
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
- SHA-256
- bb0ce49d9eb52c9a9a5445a76d8d5682b161e49c59c33f473862f29b59b01de7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.