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Frozen pre-match forecast · #250083

Bromley VS Milton Keynes Dons

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.78%
Draw
15.07%
Away
73.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1087
Log loss
0.3127

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
b4a6855855adcd0fc28491e6f589848c32e7bead6da77f573a68ab58391d8fa2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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