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Frozen pre-match forecast · #249975

Coventry City U21 VS Queens Park Rangers U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.38%
Draw
18.38%
Away
21.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0187
Log loss
1.5493

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
92a37e5a01797c1348268c6e175762aee78c29591e66bb899620a98a9764b2a5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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