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Frozen pre-match forecast · #249973

Bani Yas U23 VS Ajman U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.98%
Draw
27.28%
Away
34.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6446
Log loss
1.0573

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
d76eee43f5e10d0f5bb7726f6c0459ff77fd32379c65c14339eca8a6b0bce760

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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