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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24925

Skövde AIK VS Olympic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.66%
Draw
19.95%
Away
20.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2441
Log loss
0.5165

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
SHA-256
7e5e1d84d0c349550d31acf3e289a5de159efa2b1eb70255fe5be4a62d030917

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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