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Frozen pre-match forecast · #248840

Zaragoza VS Huesca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.33%
Draw
26.83%
Away
25.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4162
Log loss
0.7480

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
35c16f4c7f41644545fc802407c8a0daaf8dd4dda8bedd139b4aaf1ac8b13ef0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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