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Frozen pre-match forecast · #248835

Antwerp VS Lommel United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.17%
Draw
22.93%
Away
25.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9229
Log loss
1.4727

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
e187b401224f2a217c4e9c884f1294eb58bac3c1901ecc6bf7a5a2f39033d096

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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