Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #24834

Anthoupoli VS Ermis Exochi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.80%
Draw
26.63%
Away
29.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8176
Log loss
1.3230

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
11f3274682ca3b729f888dca5b86622ab9607540e76e0e46f356caf7a9ecb11e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →