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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24763

Odd VS Kolbotn W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.03%
Draw
39.00%
Away
22.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8901
Log loss
1.4710

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
70ddc26d1c5ff97a0ca5fbe093aa81d58843e297ca187abdacd29dc00d1c41eb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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