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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24758

Ørn Horten VS Fram

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.14%
Draw
17.00%
Away
47.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6786
Log loss
1.0457

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
5ac29da364d85c37b311a5d9b02140fe2b98e4a9486826d4d246ec995ee825df

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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