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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24757

Viking II VS Våg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.27%
Draw
17.14%
Away
27.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8592
Log loss
1.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
42f9db9962877a13e7260c1eea6af3f72c4c00f2c4fe829fa39136ab27bdc3d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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