Frozen pre-match forecast · #247540
PAU VS Nantes
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 07 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 07 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 32.60%
- Draw
- 26.86%
- Away
- 40.54%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5320
- Log loss
- 0.9029
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 07 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- 8cf19d173d2282d5d8ec3d3e7d03d93a0c9512cebe6412a4a02118c1dac8025f
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.