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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24754

Strindheim VS Molde II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.12%
Draw
20.35%
Away
21.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

10 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2632
Log loss
0.5427

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
12899a8163617f98268a58a9f57771d32820353ac0e67942ec2fb825611c820d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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