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Frozen pre-match forecast · #247505

Dieppe VS Racing Colombes 92

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.34%
Draw
26.48%
Away
45.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8250
Log loss
1.3289

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
84f95c0792467b8df9b41a2696771d36bd83d206c3e5afe8864236140db99d6f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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