Frozen pre-match forecast · #247461
Bury VS Cleethorpes Town
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 07 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 42.79%
- Draw
- 25.05%
- Away
- 32.16%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4935
- Log loss
- 0.8489
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 07 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- 2b1887f812820dab18a2a52ca8a1d5926b6c5ca2eb1e8f1a645a95e0ada61753
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.