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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24746

Stabæk W VS Brann W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.63%
Draw
19.03%
Away
58.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2610
Log loss
0.5389

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
76b8166f6049bda90fd531a65b7c1040b54bf047011b0bd4f21a69e06c091dfe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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