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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24740

FC Lisse VS EVV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.25%
Draw
18.89%
Away
16.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0991
Log loss
1.6665

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
4685108fbc64cf61fbe1620bd5f048b6b9644826b56b37753d3721dc22215b23

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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