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Frozen pre-match forecast · #24738

SC Genemuiden VS Purmersteijn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.11%
Draw
22.04%
Away
32.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4578
Log loss
0.7961

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
0b8ff7e0dab7b8ea2509b59c1c9ff19ede36668bc74e211e94fce3955d2de246

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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