Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #24732

Torres VS Vado

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.58%
Draw
27.78%
Away
10.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9121
Log loss
1.2809

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
ce67c9451a5ce43ffa2ce2e6f03a7e057278dc7490fdb0b7db2c4efc1ee0f6a2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →