Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #247182

Banfield Res. VS Racing Club Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.03%
Draw
22.75%
Away
43.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4900
Log loss
0.8389

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
ac96b7d25c60a42f1f2ac4cea5bc7c8b209838ac6562b244fd644fd9bd93d6c4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →