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Frozen pre-match forecast · #247052

Leamington VS Bromsgrove Sporting

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.15%
Draw
21.05%
Away
59.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2426
Log loss
0.5142

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
fe6ce0b5bd84a7644aee80527ad8e2f0be95168088a789ee7f18db278c5015c3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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