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Frozen pre-match forecast · #246958

Foggia VS Barletta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.24%
Draw
28.07%
Away
28.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7743
Log loss
1.2486

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
0ff9f68cd0da60385a9fbd736000b22b5e353cd684af8b878f3442beb81032d9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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